Sassuolo — AC Milan

Serie A · Italy

Sassuolo

1:1

AC Milan

Sassuolo

Match events

Legend

AC Milan

0′

45′

90′

No events yet

Loading match information…

Prediction review

Sassuolo vs AC Milan: prediction and match stats

Statistical prediction based on recent results, goals, xG and xGA.

Saved before kickoff · 08 Oct 2026, 09:37 UTC

xG-based expectationNo clear favouriteNo pick

Goals-total expectationOver 2.5✕ Did not match

90-minute result: 1:1 · Total: 2

Head-to-head trends

Latest available head-to-head meetings: 10 · 21 Apr 2021 — 03 May 2026

7/10

In 7 of the 10 available recent head-to-head matches, at least 3 goals were scored.

Over 2.5Odds unavailable✕ Did not match

6/10

In 6 of the 10 available recent head-to-head matches, both teams scored.

Both teams to score — yesOdds unavailable✓ Matched

Included meetings

At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.

Pre-match data and calculation

Sassuolo

2W1D2L5 recent matches

Goals1.80per match

Conceded1.80per match

xG1.755 matches

xGA1.31per match

Over 2.55/5Under 2.50/5

AC Milan

3W2D0L5 recent matches

Goals2.00per match

Conceded0.80per match

xG1.645 matches

xGA1.18per match

Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5

Match prediction and stats

Sassuolo over the last 5: 2W, 1D, 2L · 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded per match.
AC Milan over the last 5: 3W, 2D, 0L · 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded per match.
The xG balance is close: Sassuolo 0.44, AC Milan 0.46. No clear edge in the current sample.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Sassuolo: over 2.5 in 5/5, under 2.5 in 0/5; AC Milan: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5. Over 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.