AC Milan — Atalanta

Serie A · Italy

AC Milan

3:2

Atalanta

AC Milan

Match events

Legend

Atalanta

0′

45′

90′

No events yet

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Prediction review

AC Milan vs Atalanta: prediction and match stats

Statistical prediction based on recent results, goals, xG and xGA.

Saved before kickoff · 18 Oct 2026, 10:16 UTC

xG-based expectation1 · AC Milan✓ Matched

Goals-total expectationNo shared trendNo pick

90-minute result: 3:2 · Total: 5

Head-to-head trends

Latest available head-to-head meetings: 10 · 15 May 2022 — 10 May 2026

6/10

In 6 of the 10 available recent head-to-head matches, no more than 2 goals were scored.

Under 2.5Odds unavailable✕ Did not match

7/10

In 7 of the 10 available recent head-to-head matches, both teams scored.

Both teams to score — yesOdds unavailable✓ Matched

Included meetings

At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.

Pre-match data and calculation

AC Milan

2W3D0L5 recent matches

Goals1.80per match

Conceded0.80per match

xG1.585 matches

xGA1.19per match

Over 2.52/5Under 2.53/5

Atalanta

2W0D3L5 recent matches

Goals1.20per match

Conceded1.40per match

xG1.205 matches

xGA1.99per match

Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5

Match prediction and stats

AC Milan over the last 5: 2W, 3D, 0L · 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded per match.
Atalanta over the last 5: 2W, 0D, 3L · 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded per match.
AC Milan has the stronger xG balance (0.39 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): AC Milan: over 2.5 in 2/5, under 2.5 in 3/5; Atalanta: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5. The sample does not show a common totals trend.