At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Lecce
1W0D4L5 recent matches
Goals1.00per match
Conceded2.40per match
xG1.625 matches
xGA2.02per match
Over 2.54/5Under 2.51/5
Genoa
3W0D2L5 recent matches
Goals1.20per match
Conceded1.00per match
xG0.865 matches
xGA1.10per match
Over 2.52/5Under 2.53/5
Match prediction and stats
Lecce over the last 5: 1W, 0D, 4L · 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded per match.
Genoa over the last 5: 3W, 0D, 2L · 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded per match.
The xG balance is close: Lecce -0.39, Genoa -0.24. No clear edge in the current sample.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Lecce: over 2.5 in 4/5, under 2.5 in 1/5; Genoa: over 2.5 in 2/5, under 2.5 in 3/5. The sample does not show a common totals trend.