At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Atalanta
1W2D2L5 recent matches
Goals2.20per match
Conceded2.40per match
xG2.175 matches
xGA2.13per match
Over 2.54/5Under 2.51/5
Inter
4W1D0L5 recent matches
Goals2.40per match
Conceded0.80per match
xG2.775 matches
xGA1.13per match
Over 2.54/5Under 2.51/5
Match prediction and stats
Atalanta over the last 5: 1W, 2D, 2L · 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded per match.
Inter over the last 5: 4W, 1D, 0L · 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded per match.
Inter has the stronger xG balance (1.65 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Atalanta: over 2.5 in 4/5, under 2.5 in 1/5; Inter: over 2.5 in 4/5, under 2.5 in 1/5. Over 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.