At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
AS Roma
3W2D0L5 recent matches
Goals2.80per match
Conceded1.40per match
xG2.315 matches
xGA1.87per match
Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5
AC Milan
3W1D1L5 recent matches
Goals2.20per match
Conceded1.60per match
xG2.125 matches
xGA1.63per match
Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5
Match prediction and stats
AS Roma over the last 5: 3W, 2D, 0L · 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded per match.
AC Milan over the last 5: 3W, 1D, 1L · 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded per match.
The xG balance is close: AS Roma 0.44, AC Milan 0.49. No clear edge in the current sample.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): AS Roma: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5; AC Milan: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5. Over 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.