At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Fiorentina
0W2D3L5 recent matches
Goals1.20per match
Conceded2.00per match
xG1.345 matches
xGA1.77per match
Over 2.54/5Under 2.51/5
Lecce
1W0D4L5 recent matches
Goals1.00per match
Conceded2.40per match
xG1.625 matches
xGA2.02per match
Over 2.54/5Under 2.51/5
Match prediction and stats
Fiorentina over the last 5: 0W, 2D, 3L · 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded per match.
Lecce over the last 5: 1W, 0D, 4L · 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded per match.
The xG balance is close: Fiorentina -0.43, Lecce -0.39. No clear edge in the current sample.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Fiorentina: over 2.5 in 4/5, under 2.5 in 1/5; Lecce: over 2.5 in 4/5, under 2.5 in 1/5. Over 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.