At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Parma
1W0D4L5 recent matches
Goals0.80per match
Conceded2.20per match
xG0.825 matches
xGA1.93per match
Over 2.55/5Under 2.50/5
Frosinone
2W2D1L5 recent matches
Goals2.20per match
Conceded2.00per match
xG1.835 matches
xGA2.74per match
Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5
Match prediction and stats
Parma over the last 5: 1W, 0D, 4L · 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded per match.
Frosinone over the last 5: 2W, 2D, 1L · 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded per match.
The xG balance is close: Parma -1.11, Frosinone -0.92. No clear edge in the current sample.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Parma: over 2.5 in 5/5, under 2.5 in 0/5; Frosinone: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5. Over 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.