At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
AC Milan
3W1D1L5 recent matches
Goals2.20per match
Conceded1.60per match
xG2.125 matches
xGA1.63per match
Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5
Genoa
3W0D2L5 recent matches
Goals1.20per match
Conceded1.00per match
xG0.865 matches
xGA1.10per match
Over 2.52/5Under 2.53/5
Match prediction and stats
AC Milan over the last 5: 3W, 1D, 1L · 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded per match.
Genoa over the last 5: 3W, 0D, 2L · 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded per match.
AC Milan has the stronger xG balance (0.49 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): AC Milan: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5; Genoa: over 2.5 in 2/5, under 2.5 in 3/5. The sample does not show a common totals trend.