At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Atalanta
1W2D2L5 recent matches
Goals2.20per match
Conceded2.40per match
xG2.175 matches
xGA2.13per match
Over 2.54/5Under 2.51/5
Monza
2W0D3L5 recent matches
Goals2.00per match
Conceded2.20per match
xG1.205 matches
xGA2.09per match
Over 2.55/5Under 2.50/5
Match prediction and stats
Atalanta over the last 5: 1W, 2D, 2L · 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded per match.
Monza over the last 5: 2W, 0D, 3L · 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded per match.
Atalanta has the stronger xG balance (0.04 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Atalanta: over 2.5 in 4/5, under 2.5 in 1/5; Monza: over 2.5 in 5/5, under 2.5 in 0/5. Over 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.