At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Venezia
1W0D4L5 recent matches
Goals0.80per match
Conceded2.00per match
xG1.485 matches
xGA2.23per match
Over 2.52/5Under 2.53/5
Cagliari
1W1D3L5 recent matches
Goals0.80per match
Conceded2.20per match
xG1.485 matches
xGA2.35per match
Over 2.52/5Under 2.53/5
Match prediction and stats
Venezia over the last 5: 1W, 0D, 4L · 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded per match.
Cagliari over the last 5: 1W, 1D, 3L · 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded per match.
The xG balance is close: Venezia -0.75, Cagliari -0.88. No clear edge in the current sample.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Venezia: over 2.5 in 2/5, under 2.5 in 3/5; Cagliari: over 2.5 in 2/5, under 2.5 in 3/5. Under 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.