At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Bologna
2W1D2L5 recent matches
Goals1.20per match
Conceded1.20per match
xG1.285 matches
xGA1.42per match
Over 2.52/5Under 2.53/5
Lecce
2W0D3L5 recent matches
Goals1.40per match
Conceded1.80per match
xG1.535 matches
xGA1.73per match
Over 2.54/5Under 2.51/5
Match prediction and stats
Bologna over the last 5: 2W, 1D, 2L · 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded per match.
Lecce over the last 5: 2W, 0D, 3L · 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded per match.
The xG balance is close: Bologna -0.14, Lecce -0.20. No clear edge in the current sample.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Bologna: over 2.5 in 2/5, under 2.5 in 3/5; Lecce: over 2.5 in 4/5, under 2.5 in 1/5. The sample does not show a common totals trend.