At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Genoa
2W1D2L5 recent matches
Goals1.00per match
Conceded1.20per match
xG1.055 matches
xGA1.22per match
Over 2.52/5Under 2.53/5
AS Roma
2W3D0L5 recent matches
Goals1.80per match
Conceded1.00per match
xG1.615 matches
xGA1.71per match
Over 2.52/5Under 2.53/5
Match prediction and stats
Genoa over the last 5: 2W, 1D, 2L · 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded per match.
AS Roma over the last 5: 2W, 3D, 0L · 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded per match.
The xG balance is close: Genoa -0.17, AS Roma -0.10. No clear edge in the current sample.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Genoa: over 2.5 in 2/5, under 2.5 in 3/5; AS Roma: over 2.5 in 2/5, under 2.5 in 3/5. Under 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.