At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
AC Milan
3W1D1L5 recent matches
Goals2.20per match
Conceded1.40per match
xG2.435 matches
xGA1.25per match
Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5
Lazio
5W0D0L5 recent matches
Goals3.20per match
Conceded0.80per match
xG2.135 matches
xGA1.16per match
Over 2.54/5Under 2.51/5
Match prediction and stats
AC Milan over the last 5: 3W, 1D, 1L · 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded per match.
Lazio over the last 5: 5W, 0D, 0L · 3.20 scored and 0.80 conceded per match.
AC Milan has the stronger xG balance (1.18 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): AC Milan: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5; Lazio: over 2.5 in 4/5, under 2.5 in 1/5. Over 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.