At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Lecce
1W0D4L5 recent matches
Goals1.00per match
Conceded2.40per match
xG1.625 matches
xGA2.02per match
Over 2.54/5Under 2.51/5
Cagliari
1W1D3L5 recent matches
Goals0.80per match
Conceded2.20per match
xG1.485 matches
xGA2.35per match
Over 2.52/5Under 2.53/5
Match prediction and stats
Lecce over the last 5: 1W, 0D, 4L · 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded per match.
Cagliari over the last 5: 1W, 1D, 3L · 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded per match.
Lecce has the stronger xG balance (-0.39 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Lecce: over 2.5 in 4/5, under 2.5 in 1/5; Cagliari: over 2.5 in 2/5, under 2.5 in 3/5. The sample does not show a common totals trend.