At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Fiorentina
0W2D3L5 recent matches
Goals1.20per match
Conceded2.00per match
xG1.345 matches
xGA1.77per match
Over 2.54/5Under 2.51/5
Monza
1W0D4L5 recent matches
Goals1.80per match
Conceded2.40per match
xG1.255 matches
xGA2.33per match
Over 2.55/5Under 2.50/5
Match prediction and stats
Fiorentina over the last 5: 0W, 2D, 3L · 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded per match.
Monza over the last 5: 1W, 0D, 4L · 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded per match.
Fiorentina has the stronger xG balance (-0.43 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Fiorentina: over 2.5 in 4/5, under 2.5 in 1/5; Monza: over 2.5 in 5/5, under 2.5 in 0/5. Over 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.