At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Monaco
4W1D0L5 recent matches
Goals1.60per match
Conceded0.60per match
xG1.205 matches
xGA1.33per match
Over 2.52/5Under 2.53/5
Toulouse
1W2D2L5 recent matches
Goals1.40per match
Conceded1.80per match
xG2.375 matches
xGA1.61per match
Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5
Match prediction and stats
Monaco over the last 5: 4W, 1D, 0L · 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded per match.
Toulouse over the last 5: 1W, 2D, 2L · 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded per match.
Toulouse has the stronger xG balance (0.76 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Monaco: over 2.5 in 2/5, under 2.5 in 3/5; Toulouse: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5. The sample does not show a common totals trend.