At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Rennes
3W1D1L5 recent matches
Goals1.60per match
Conceded1.80per match
xG1.715 matches
xGA2.36per match
Over 2.54/5Under 2.51/5
Auxerre
2W0D3L5 recent matches
Goals1.40per match
Conceded2.40per match
xG1.415 matches
xGA2.05per match
Over 2.54/5Under 2.51/5
Match prediction and stats
Rennes over the last 5: 3W, 1D, 1L · 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded per match.
Auxerre over the last 5: 2W, 0D, 3L · 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded per match.
The xG balance is close: Rennes -0.65, Auxerre -0.63. No clear edge in the current sample.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Rennes: over 2.5 in 4/5, under 2.5 in 1/5; Auxerre: over 2.5 in 4/5, under 2.5 in 1/5. Over 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.