At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Estac Troyes
1W1D3L5 recent matches
Goals0.80per match
Conceded2.20per match
xG1.405 matches
xGA1.99per match
Over 2.52/5Under 2.53/5
Marseille
1W0D4L5 recent matches
Goals1.40per match
Conceded1.60per match
xG1.585 matches
xGA2.35per match
Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5
Match prediction and stats
Estac Troyes over the last 5: 1W, 1D, 3L · 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded per match.
Marseille over the last 5: 1W, 0D, 4L · 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded per match.
The xG balance is close: Estac Troyes -0.58, Marseille -0.77. No clear edge in the current sample.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Estac Troyes: over 2.5 in 2/5, under 2.5 in 3/5; Marseille: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5. The sample does not show a common totals trend.