Estac Troyes — Lens

Ligue 1 · France

Estac Troyes

1:3

Lens

Estac Troyes

Match events

Legend

Lens

0′

45′

90′

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Prediction review

Estac Troyes vs Lens: prediction and match stats

Statistical prediction based on recent results, goals, xG and xGA.

Saved before kickoff · 17 Oct 2026, 13:06 UTC

xG-based expectation2 · Lens✓ Matched

Goals-total expectationNo shared trendNo pick

90-minute result: 1:3 · Total: 4

Head-to-head trends

Latest available head-to-head meetings: 10 · 18 Aug 2018 — 04 Feb 2026

6/10

In 6 of the 10 available recent head-to-head matches, no more than 2 goals were scored.

Under 2.5Odds unavailable✕ Did not match

6/10

In 6 of the 10 available recent head-to-head matches, at least one team did not score.

Both teams to score — noOdds unavailable✕ Did not match

Included meetings

At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.

Pre-match data and calculation

Estac Troyes

1W0D4L5 recent matches

Goals0.80per match

Conceded2.60per match

xG1.575 matches

xGA1.88per match

Over 2.52/5Under 2.53/5

Lens

1W1D3L5 recent matches

Goals1.20per match

Conceded1.60per match

xG1.735 matches

xGA1.72per match

Over 2.54/5Under 2.51/5

Match prediction and stats

Estac Troyes over the last 5: 1W, 0D, 4L · 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded per match.
Lens over the last 5: 1W, 1D, 3L · 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded per match.
Lens has the stronger xG balance (0.01 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Estac Troyes: over 2.5 in 2/5, under 2.5 in 3/5; Lens: over 2.5 in 4/5, under 2.5 in 1/5. The sample does not show a common totals trend.