Marseille — Le Havre

Ligue 1 · France

Marseille

4:3

Le Havre

Marseille

Match events

Legend

Le Havre

0′

45′

90′

No events yet

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Prediction review

Marseille vs Le Havre: prediction and match stats

Statistical prediction based on recent results, goals, xG and xGA.

Saved before kickoff · 25 Oct 2026, 08:17 UTC

xG-based expectation2 · Le Havre✕ Did not match

Goals-total expectationOver 2.5✓ Matched

90-minute result: 4:3 · Total: 7

Head-to-head trends

Latest available head-to-head meetings: 7 · 22 Jan 2012 — 10 May 2026

5/7

In 5 of the 7 available recent head-to-head matches, at least 3 goals were scored.

Over 2.5Odds unavailable✓ Matched

5/7

In 5 of the 7 available recent head-to-head matches, both teams scored.

Both teams to score — yesOdds unavailable✓ Matched

Included meetings

At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.

Pre-match data and calculation

Marseille

2W0D3L5 recent matches

Goals2.00per match

Conceded1.60per match

xG1.805 matches

xGA2.58per match

Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5

Le Havre

0W1D4L5 recent matches

Goals0.80per match

Conceded1.80per match

xG1.585 matches

xGA1.81per match

Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5

Match prediction and stats

Marseille over the last 5: 2W, 0D, 3L · 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded per match.
Le Havre over the last 5: 0W, 1D, 4L · 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded per match.
Le Havre has the stronger xG balance (-0.23 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Marseille: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5; Le Havre: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5. Over 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.