At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Lens
3W1D1L5 recent matches
Goals2.00per match
Conceded1.40per match
xG1.415 matches
xGA1.47per match
Over 2.55/5Under 2.50/5
Marseille
3W0D2L5 recent matches
Goals2.40per match
Conceded1.60per match
xG1.885 matches
xGA2.46per match
Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5
Match prediction and stats
Lens over the last 5: 3W, 1D, 1L · 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded per match.
Marseille over the last 5: 3W, 0D, 2L · 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded per match.
Lens has the stronger xG balance (-0.06 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Lens: over 2.5 in 5/5, under 2.5 in 0/5; Marseille: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5. Over 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.