At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Lorient
2W2D1L5 recent matches
Goals1.00per match
Conceded0.80per match
xG1.065 matches
xGA0.86per match
Over 2.52/5Under 2.53/5
Marseille
3W0D2L5 recent matches
Goals2.40per match
Conceded1.60per match
xG1.885 matches
xGA2.46per match
Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5
Match prediction and stats
Lorient over the last 5: 2W, 2D, 1L · 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded per match.
Marseille over the last 5: 3W, 0D, 2L · 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded per match.
Lorient has the stronger xG balance (0.19 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Lorient: over 2.5 in 2/5, under 2.5 in 3/5; Marseille: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5. The sample does not show a common totals trend.