At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Marseille
3W0D2L5 recent matches
Goals2.40per match
Conceded1.60per match
xG1.885 matches
xGA2.46per match
Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5
Estac Troyes
0W1D4L5 recent matches
Goals0.20per match
Conceded1.80per match
xG0.925 matches
xGA1.54per match
Over 2.51/5Under 2.54/5
Match prediction and stats
Marseille over the last 5: 3W, 0D, 2L · 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded per match.
Estac Troyes over the last 5: 0W, 1D, 4L · 0.20 scored and 1.80 conceded per match.
The xG balance is close: Marseille -0.59, Estac Troyes -0.62. No clear edge in the current sample.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Marseille: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5; Estac Troyes: over 2.5 in 1/5, under 2.5 in 4/5. The sample does not show a common totals trend.