At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Marseille
3W0D2L5 recent matches
Goals2.40per match
Conceded1.60per match
xG1.885 matches
xGA2.46per match
Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5
Monaco
1W3D1L5 recent matches
Goals1.20per match
Conceded1.20per match
xG1.065 matches
xGA1.18per match
Over 2.52/5Under 2.53/5
Match prediction and stats
Marseille over the last 5: 3W, 0D, 2L · 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded per match.
Monaco over the last 5: 1W, 3D, 1L · 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded per match.
Monaco has the stronger xG balance (-0.11 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Marseille: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5; Monaco: over 2.5 in 2/5, under 2.5 in 3/5. The sample does not show a common totals trend.