At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Auxerre
3W1D1L5 recent matches
Goals1.60per match
Conceded1.40per match
xG1.365 matches
xGA1.29per match
Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5
Lorient
2W2D1L5 recent matches
Goals1.00per match
Conceded0.80per match
xG1.065 matches
xGA0.86per match
Over 2.52/5Under 2.53/5
Match prediction and stats
Auxerre over the last 5: 3W, 1D, 1L · 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded per match.
Lorient over the last 5: 2W, 2D, 1L · 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded per match.
The xG balance is close: Auxerre 0.07, Lorient 0.19. No clear edge in the current sample.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Auxerre: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5; Lorient: over 2.5 in 2/5, under 2.5 in 3/5. The sample does not show a common totals trend.