Arsenal — Leeds

Premier League · England

Arsenal

2:1

Leeds

Arsenal

Match events

Legend

Leeds

0′

45′

90′

No events yet

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Prediction review

Arsenal vs Leeds: prediction and match stats

Statistical prediction based on recent results, goals, xG and xGA.

Saved before kickoff · 06 Oct 2026, 12:06 UTC

xG-based expectation1 · Arsenal✓ Matched

Goals-total expectationNo shared trendNo pick

90-minute result: 2:1 · Total: 3

Head-to-head trends

Latest available head-to-head meetings: 10 · 06 Jan 2020 — 31 Jan 2026

6/10

In 6 of the 10 available recent head-to-head matches, at least 3 goals were scored.

Over 2.5Odds unavailable✓ Matched

6/10

In 6 of the 10 available recent head-to-head matches, at least one team did not score.

Both teams to score — noOdds unavailable✕ Did not match

Included meetings

At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.

Pre-match data and calculation

Arsenal

4W0D1L5 recent matches

Goals1.60per match

Conceded0.80per match

xG1.625 matches

xGA0.97per match

Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5

Leeds

2W3D0L5 recent matches

Goals1.40per match

Conceded0.60per match

xG1.485 matches

xGA1.24per match

Over 2.51/5Under 2.54/5

Match prediction and stats

Arsenal over the last 5: 4W, 0D, 1L · 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded per match.
Leeds over the last 5: 2W, 3D, 0L · 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded per match.
Arsenal has the stronger xG balance (0.65 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Arsenal: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5; Leeds: over 2.5 in 1/5, under 2.5 in 4/5. The sample does not show a common totals trend.