At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff. Odds updated: .
Pre-match data and calculation
Aston Villa
1W1D3L5 recent matches
Goals0.80per match
Conceded1.80per match
xG1.005 matches
xGA1.73per match
Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5
Brentford
2W3D0L5 recent matches
Goals2.00per match
Conceded0.80per match
xG1.245 matches
xGA1.16per match
Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5
Match prediction and stats
Aston Villa over the last 5: 1W, 1D, 3L · 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded per match.
Brentford over the last 5: 2W, 3D, 0L · 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded per match.
Brentford has the stronger xG balance (0.08 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Aston Villa: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5; Brentford: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5. Over 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.