At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff. Odds updated: .
Pre-match data and calculation
Sunderland
1W1D3L5 recent matches
Goals1.20per match
Conceded2.00per match
xG1.795 matches
xGA1.53per match
Over 2.52/5Under 2.53/5
Brighton
3W1D1L5 recent matches
Goals3.20per match
Conceded1.00per match
xG2.315 matches
xGA1.64per match
Over 2.54/5Under 2.51/5
Match prediction and stats
Sunderland over the last 5: 1W, 1D, 3L · 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded per match.
Brighton over the last 5: 3W, 1D, 1L · 3.20 scored and 1.00 conceded per match.
Brighton has the stronger xG balance (0.67 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Sunderland: over 2.5 in 2/5, under 2.5 in 3/5; Brighton: over 2.5 in 4/5, under 2.5 in 1/5. The sample does not show a common totals trend.