Leeds — Manchester United

Premier League · England

Leeds

1:1

Manchester United

Leeds

Match events

Legend

Manchester United

0′

45′

90′

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Prediction review

Leeds vs Manchester United: prediction and match stats

Statistical prediction based on recent results, goals, xG and xGA.

Saved before kickoff · 18 Oct 2026, 10:15 UTC

xG-based expectation2 · Manchester United✕ Did not match

Goals-total expectationUnder 2.5✓ Matched

90-minute result: 1:1 · Total: 2

Head-to-head trends

Latest available head-to-head meetings: 10 · 25 Apr 2021 — 12 Aug 2026

6/10

In 6 of the 10 available recent head-to-head matches, no more than 2 goals were scored.

Under 2.5Odds unavailable✓ Matched

6/10

In 6 of the 10 available recent head-to-head matches, both teams scored.

Both teams to score — yesOdds unavailable✓ Matched

Included meetings

At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.

Pre-match data and calculation

Leeds

1W3D1L5 recent matches

Goals1.40per match

Conceded1.00per match

xG1.665 matches

xGA1.64per match

Over 2.52/5Under 2.53/5

Manchester United

1W3D1L5 recent matches

Goals1.80per match

Conceded1.40per match

xG1.845 matches

xGA1.58per match

Over 2.52/5Under 2.53/5

Match prediction and stats

Leeds over the last 5: 1W, 3D, 1L · 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded per match.
Manchester United over the last 5: 1W, 3D, 1L · 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded per match.
Manchester United has the stronger xG balance (0.25 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Leeds: over 2.5 in 2/5, under 2.5 in 3/5; Manchester United: over 2.5 in 2/5, under 2.5 in 3/5. Under 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.