At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Newcastle
2W1D2L5 recent matches
Goals1.60per match
Conceded2.20per match
xG1.195 matches
xGA1.53per match
Over 2.54/5Under 2.51/5
Aston Villa
1W2D2L5 recent matches
Goals1.20per match
Conceded1.40per match
xG1.335 matches
xGA1.38per match
Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5
Match prediction and stats
Newcastle over the last 5: 2W, 1D, 2L · 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded per match.
Aston Villa over the last 5: 1W, 2D, 2L · 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded per match.
Aston Villa has the stronger xG balance (-0.05 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Newcastle: over 2.5 in 4/5, under 2.5 in 1/5; Aston Villa: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5. Over 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.
Newcastle