At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Arsenal
4W0D1L5 recent matches
Goals1.40per match
Conceded1.00per match
xG1.685 matches
xGA1.25per match
Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5
Everton
1W3D1L5 recent matches
Goals1.00per match
Conceded1.20per match
xG1.615 matches
xGA1.12per match
Over 2.52/5Under 2.53/5
Match prediction and stats
Arsenal over the last 5: 4W, 0D, 1L · 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded per match.
Everton over the last 5: 1W, 3D, 1L · 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded per match.
The xG balance is close: Arsenal 0.43, Everton 0.49. No clear edge in the current sample.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Arsenal: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5; Everton: over 2.5 in 2/5, under 2.5 in 3/5. The sample does not show a common totals trend.