At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Aston Villa
2W2D1L5 recent matches
Goals1.40per match
Conceded1.20per match
xG1.685 matches
xGA1.35per match
Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5
Manchester City
5W0D0L5 recent matches
Goals2.60per match
Conceded1.00per match
xG2.305 matches
xGA1.51per match
Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5
Match prediction and stats
Aston Villa over the last 5: 2W, 2D, 1L · 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded per match.
Manchester City over the last 5: 5W, 0D, 0L · 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded per match.
Manchester City has the stronger xG balance (0.79 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Aston Villa: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5; Manchester City: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5. Over 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.
Aston Villa