Manchester City — Brighton

Premier League · England

Manchester City

0:1

Brighton

Manchester City

Match events

Legend

Brighton

0′

45′

90′

No events yet

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Prediction review

Manchester City vs Brighton: prediction and match stats

Statistical prediction based on recent results, goals, xG and xGA.

Saved before kickoff · 31 Oct 2026, 08:09 UTC

xG-based expectationNo clear favouriteNo pick

Goals-total expectationOver 2.5✕ Did not match

90-minute result: 0:1 · Total: 1

Head-to-head trends

Latest available head-to-head meetings: 10 · 23 Oct 2021 — 07 Jan 2026

8/10

In 8 of the 10 available recent head-to-head matches, at least 3 goals were scored.

Over 2.5Odds unavailable✕ Did not match

8/10

In 8 of the 10 available recent head-to-head matches, both teams scored.

Both teams to score — yesOdds unavailable✕ Did not match

Included meetings

At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.

Pre-match data and calculation

Manchester City

4W0D1L5 recent matches

Goals2.60per match

Conceded1.40per match

xG2.345 matches

xGA1.37per match

Over 2.54/5Under 2.51/5

Brighton

4W0D1L5 recent matches

Goals3.00per match

Conceded0.40per match

xG2.035 matches

xGA1.07per match

Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5

Match prediction and stats

Manchester City over the last 5: 4W, 0D, 1L · 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded per match.
Brighton over the last 5: 4W, 0D, 1L · 3.00 scored and 0.40 conceded per match.
The xG balance is close: Manchester City 0.97, Brighton 0.96. No clear edge in the current sample.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Manchester City: over 2.5 in 4/5, under 2.5 in 1/5; Brighton: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5. Over 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.