Bournemouth — Brighton

Premier League · England

Bournemouth

—:—

Brighton

Before kick-off

Team comparison

Statistics, not a prediction

Bournemouth

Last 5 completed matches

Brighton

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Head-to-head

No stored head-to-head matches yet.

Unavailable players

Bournemouth

No verified data

Brighton

No verified data

Figures use the last five completed matches in this competition. They describe statistics and are not a result prediction.

Bournemouth

Match events

Legend

Brighton

No events yet

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Refreshing the calculation; the dated saved version is shown meanwhile.

Match prediction

Bournemouth vs Brighton: prediction and match stats

Statistical prediction based on recent results, goals, xG and xGA.

Saved before kickoff · 29 Oct 2026, 12:58 UTC

xG-based expectation1 · BournemouthAwaiting result

Goals-total expectationOver 2.5Awaiting result

Head-to-head trends

Latest available head-to-head meetings: 10 · 28 Dec 2019 — 19 Jan 2026

6/10

In 6 of the 10 available recent head-to-head matches, at least 3 goals were scored.

Over 2.5Odds unavailable

6/10

In 6 of the 10 available recent head-to-head matches, both teams scored.

Both teams to score — yesOdds unavailable

Included meetings

At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.

Pre-match data and calculation

Bournemouth

2W1D2L5 recent matches

Goals1.60per match

Conceded1.60per match

xG2.265 matches

xGA0.82per match

Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5

Brighton

4W0D1L5 recent matches

Goals3.00per match

Conceded0.40per match

xG2.035 matches

xGA1.07per match

Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5

Match prediction and stats

Bournemouth over the last 5: 2W, 1D, 2L · 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded per match.
Brighton over the last 5: 4W, 0D, 1L · 3.00 scored and 0.40 conceded per match.
Bournemouth has the stronger xG balance (1.44 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Bournemouth: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5; Brighton: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5. Over 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.