At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Newcastle
2W0D3L5 recent matches
Goals1.20per match
Conceded2.00per match
xG1.345 matches
xGA1.80per match
Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5
Sunderland
0W1D4L5 recent matches
Goals0.60per match
Conceded2.20per match
xG1.385 matches
xGA2.33per match
Over 2.51/5Under 2.54/5
Match prediction and stats
Newcastle over the last 5: 2W, 0D, 3L · 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded per match.
Sunderland over the last 5: 0W, 1D, 4L · 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded per match.
Newcastle has the stronger xG balance (-0.46 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Newcastle: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5; Sunderland: over 2.5 in 1/5, under 2.5 in 4/5. The sample does not show a common totals trend.