Chelsea — Newcastle

Premier League · England

Chelsea

—:—

Newcastle

Before kick-off

Team comparison

Statistics, not a prediction

Chelsea

Last 5 completed matches

Newcastle

Loading stored statistics…

Head-to-head

No stored head-to-head matches yet.

Unavailable players

Chelsea

No verified data

Newcastle

No verified data

Figures use the last five completed matches in this competition. They describe statistics and are not a result prediction.

Chelsea

Match events

Legend

Newcastle

No events yet

Loading match information…

Refreshing the calculation; the dated saved version is shown meanwhile.

Match prediction

Chelsea vs Newcastle: prediction and match stats

Statistical prediction based on recent results, goals, xG and xGA.

Saved before kickoff · 26 Oct 2026, 18:35 UTC

xG-based expectationNo clear favouriteNo pick

Goals-total expectationOver 2.5Awaiting result

Head-to-head trends

Latest available head-to-head meetings: 10 · 28 May 2023 — 14 Mar 2026

6/10

In 6 of the 10 available recent head-to-head matches, no more than 2 goals were scored.

Under 2.5Odds unavailable

7/10

In 7 of the 10 available recent head-to-head matches, both teams scored.

Both teams to score — yesOdds unavailable

Included meetings

At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.

Pre-match data and calculation

Chelsea

2W1D2L5 recent matches

Goals1.80per match

Conceded1.60per match

xG1.115 matches

xGA1.50per match

Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5

Newcastle

2W0D3L5 recent matches

Goals1.20per match

Conceded2.00per match

xG1.345 matches

xGA1.80per match

Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5

Match prediction and stats

Chelsea over the last 5: 2W, 1D, 2L · 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded per match.
Newcastle over the last 5: 2W, 0D, 3L · 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded per match.
The xG balance is close: Chelsea -0.39, Newcastle -0.46. No clear edge in the current sample.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Chelsea: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5; Newcastle: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5. Over 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.