At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Aston Villa
3W1D1L5 recent matches
Goals1.80per match
Conceded1.40per match
xG1.425 matches
xGA1.70per match
Over 2.54/5Under 2.51/5
Manchester United
0W3D2L5 recent matches
Goals0.60per match
Conceded1.40per match
xG1.175 matches
xGA1.77per match
Over 2.51/5Under 2.54/5
Match prediction and stats
Aston Villa over the last 5: 3W, 1D, 1L · 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded per match.
Manchester United over the last 5: 0W, 3D, 2L · 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded per match.
Aston Villa has the stronger xG balance (-0.28 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Aston Villa: over 2.5 in 4/5, under 2.5 in 1/5; Manchester United: over 2.5 in 1/5, under 2.5 in 4/5. The sample does not show a common totals trend.