At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Brentford
1W3D1L5 recent matches
Goals1.80per match
Conceded1.40per match
xG1.375 matches
xGA1.59per match
Over 2.54/5Under 2.51/5
Brighton
4W0D1L5 recent matches
Goals3.00per match
Conceded0.40per match
xG2.035 matches
xGA1.07per match
Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5
Match prediction and stats
Brentford over the last 5: 1W, 3D, 1L · 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded per match.
Brighton over the last 5: 4W, 0D, 1L · 3.00 scored and 0.40 conceded per match.
Brighton has the stronger xG balance (0.96 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Brentford: over 2.5 in 4/5, under 2.5 in 1/5; Brighton: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5. Over 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.