Brighton — Manchester City

Premier League · England

Brighton

—:—

Manchester City

Before kick-off

Team comparison

Statistics, not a prediction

Brighton

Last 5 completed matches

Manchester City

Loading stored statistics…

Head-to-head

No stored head-to-head matches yet.

Unavailable players

Brighton

No verified data

Manchester City

No verified data

Figures use the last five completed matches in this competition. They describe statistics and are not a result prediction.

Brighton

Match events

Legend

Manchester City

No events yet

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Refreshing the calculation; the dated saved version is shown meanwhile.

Match prediction

Brighton vs Manchester City: prediction and match stats

Statistical prediction based on recent results, goals, xG and xGA.

Saved before kickoff · 26 Oct 2026, 18:19 UTC

xG-based expectationNo clear favouriteNo pick

Goals-total expectationOver 2.5Awaiting result

Head-to-head trends

Latest available head-to-head meetings: 10 · 23 Oct 2021 — 07 Jan 2026

8/10

In 8 of the 10 available recent head-to-head matches, at least 3 goals were scored.

Over 2.5Odds unavailable

8/10

In 8 of the 10 available recent head-to-head matches, both teams scored.

Both teams to score — yesOdds unavailable

Included meetings

At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.

Pre-match data and calculation

Brighton

4W0D1L5 recent matches

Goals3.00per match

Conceded0.40per match

xG2.035 matches

xGA1.07per match

Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5

Manchester City

4W0D1L5 recent matches

Goals2.60per match

Conceded1.40per match

xG2.345 matches

xGA1.37per match

Over 2.54/5Under 2.51/5

Match prediction and stats

Brighton over the last 5: 4W, 0D, 1L · 3.00 scored and 0.40 conceded per match.
Manchester City over the last 5: 4W, 0D, 1L · 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded per match.
The xG balance is close: Brighton 0.96, Manchester City 0.97. No clear edge in the current sample.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Brighton: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5; Manchester City: over 2.5 in 4/5, under 2.5 in 1/5. Over 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.