Manchester United — Arsenal

Premier League · England

Manchester United

—:—

Arsenal

Before kick-off

Team comparison

Statistics, not a prediction

Manchester United

Last 5 completed matches

Arsenal

Loading stored statistics…

Head-to-head

No stored head-to-head matches yet.

Unavailable players

Manchester United

No verified data

Arsenal

No verified data

Figures use the last five completed matches in this competition. They describe statistics and are not a result prediction.

Manchester United

Match events

Legend

Arsenal

No events yet

Loading match information…

Refreshing the calculation; the dated saved version is shown meanwhile.

Match prediction

Manchester United vs Arsenal: prediction and match stats

Statistical prediction based on recent results, goals, xG and xGA.

Saved before kickoff · 21 Oct 2026, 14:14 UTC

xG-based expectation2 · ArsenalAwaiting result

Goals-total expectationNo shared trendNo pick

Head-to-head trends

Latest available head-to-head meetings: 10 · 22 Jan 2023 — 25 Jan 2026

6/10

In 6 of the 10 available recent head-to-head matches, no more than 2 goals were scored.

Under 2.5Odds unavailable

6/10

In 6 of the 10 available recent head-to-head matches, both teams scored.

Both teams to score — yesOdds unavailable

Included meetings

At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.

Pre-match data and calculation

Manchester United

0W4D1L5 recent matches

Goals1.00per match

Conceded1.20per match

xG1.145 matches

xGA1.46per match

Over 2.51/5Under 2.54/5

Arsenal

4W0D1L5 recent matches

Goals1.40per match

Conceded1.00per match

xG1.685 matches

xGA1.25per match

Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5

Match prediction and stats

Manchester United over the last 5: 0W, 4D, 1L · 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded per match.
Arsenal over the last 5: 4W, 0D, 1L · 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded per match.
Arsenal has the stronger xG balance (0.43 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Manchester United: over 2.5 in 1/5, under 2.5 in 4/5; Arsenal: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5. The sample does not show a common totals trend.