At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Hull City
0W3D2L5 recent matches
Goals1.20per match
Conceded1.60per match
xG1.315 matches
xGA1.87per match
Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5
Chelsea
2W1D2L5 recent matches
Goals1.80per match
Conceded1.60per match
xG1.115 matches
xGA1.50per match
Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5
Match prediction and stats
Hull City over the last 5: 0W, 3D, 2L · 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded per match.
Chelsea over the last 5: 2W, 1D, 2L · 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded per match.
The xG balance is close: Hull City -0.56, Chelsea -0.39. No clear edge in the current sample.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Hull City: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5; Chelsea: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5. Over 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.