At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Chelsea
3W0D2L5 recent matches
Goals1.80per match
Conceded1.20per match
xG1.425 matches
xGA1.42per match
Over 2.52/5Under 2.53/5
Fulham
2W2D1L5 recent matches
Goals1.00per match
Conceded0.80per match
xG1.825 matches
xGA1.23per match
Over 2.51/5Under 2.54/5
Match prediction and stats
Chelsea over the last 5: 3W, 0D, 2L · 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded per match.
Fulham over the last 5: 2W, 2D, 1L · 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded per match.
Fulham has the stronger xG balance (0.59 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Chelsea: over 2.5 in 2/5, under 2.5 in 3/5; Fulham: over 2.5 in 1/5, under 2.5 in 4/5. Under 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.
Chelsea
Fulham