At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Leeds
0W3D2L5 recent matches
Goals0.40per match
Conceded1.00per match
xG1.155 matches
xGA1.40per match
Over 2.51/5Under 2.54/5
Nottingham Forest
0W1D4L5 recent matches
Goals0.40per match
Conceded1.60per match
xG1.915 matches
xGA1.11per match
Over 2.51/5Under 2.54/5
Match prediction and stats
Leeds over the last 5: 0W, 3D, 2L · 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded per match.
Nottingham Forest over the last 5: 0W, 1D, 4L · 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded per match.
Nottingham Forest has the stronger xG balance (0.80 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Leeds: over 2.5 in 1/5, under 2.5 in 4/5; Nottingham Forest: over 2.5 in 1/5, under 2.5 in 4/5. Under 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.