At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Everton
1W2D2L5 recent matches
Goals0.60per match
Conceded1.20per match
xG1.565 matches
xGA1.44per match
Over 2.51/5Under 2.54/5
Arsenal
4W0D1L5 recent matches
Goals1.20per match
Conceded0.80per match
xG1.535 matches
xGA1.20per match
Over 2.52/5Under 2.53/5
Match prediction and stats
Everton over the last 5: 1W, 2D, 2L · 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded per match.
Arsenal over the last 5: 4W, 0D, 1L · 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded per match.
Arsenal has the stronger xG balance (0.33 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Everton: over 2.5 in 1/5, under 2.5 in 4/5; Arsenal: over 2.5 in 2/5, under 2.5 in 3/5. Under 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.