At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Leeds
0W3D2L5 recent matches
Goals0.40per match
Conceded1.00per match
xG1.155 matches
xGA1.40per match
Over 2.51/5Under 2.54/5
Sunderland
0W1D4L5 recent matches
Goals0.80per match
Conceded2.40per match
xG1.345 matches
xGA2.15per match
Over 2.52/5Under 2.53/5
Match prediction and stats
Leeds over the last 5: 0W, 3D, 2L · 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded per match.
Sunderland over the last 5: 0W, 1D, 4L · 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded per match.
Leeds has the stronger xG balance (-0.25 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Leeds: over 2.5 in 1/5, under 2.5 in 4/5; Sunderland: over 2.5 in 2/5, under 2.5 in 3/5. Under 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.