Manchester City — Aston Villa

Premier League · England

Manchester City

—:—

Aston Villa

Before kick-off

Team comparison

Statistics, not a prediction

Manchester City

Last 5 completed matches

Aston Villa

Loading stored statistics…

Head-to-head

No stored head-to-head matches yet.

Unavailable players

Manchester City

No verified data

Aston Villa

No verified data

Figures use the last five completed matches in this competition. They describe statistics and are not a result prediction.

Manchester City

Match events

Legend

Aston Villa

No events yet

Loading match information…

Refreshing the calculation; the dated saved version is shown meanwhile.

Match prediction

Manchester City vs Aston Villa: prediction and match stats

Statistical prediction based on recent results, goals, xG and xGA.

Saved before kickoff · 01 Nov 2026, 18:04 UTC

xG-based expectation1 · Manchester CityAwaiting result

Goals-total expectationOver 2.5Awaiting result

Head-to-head trends

Latest available head-to-head meetings: 10 · 01 Dec 2021 — 24 May 2026

7/10

In 7 of the 10 available recent head-to-head matches, at least 3 goals were scored.

Over 2.5Odds unavailable

8/10

In 8 of the 10 available recent head-to-head matches, both teams scored.

Both teams to score — yesOdds unavailable

Included meetings

At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.

Pre-match data and calculation

Manchester City

3W0D2L5 recent matches

Goals2.40per match

Conceded1.60per match

xG2.645 matches

xGA1.49per match

Over 2.54/5Under 2.51/5

Aston Villa

3W2D0L5 recent matches

Goals1.80per match

Conceded1.20per match

xG1.705 matches

xGA1.80per match

Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5

Match prediction and stats

Manchester City over the last 5: 3W, 0D, 2L · 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded per match.
Aston Villa over the last 5: 3W, 2D, 0L · 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded per match.
Manchester City has the stronger xG balance (1.15 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Manchester City: over 2.5 in 4/5, under 2.5 in 1/5; Aston Villa: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5. Over 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.