At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Arsenal
4W0D1L5 recent matches
Goals1.40per match
Conceded0.80per match
xG1.735 matches
xGA1.32per match
Over 2.52/5Under 2.53/5
Brighton
4W0D1L5 recent matches
Goals2.20per match
Conceded0.40per match
xG1.785 matches
xGA1.34per match
Over 2.52/5Under 2.53/5
Match prediction and stats
Arsenal over the last 5: 4W, 0D, 1L · 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded per match.
Brighton over the last 5: 4W, 0D, 1L · 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded per match.
The xG balance is close: Arsenal 0.41, Brighton 0.44. No clear edge in the current sample.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Arsenal: over 2.5 in 2/5, under 2.5 in 3/5; Brighton: over 2.5 in 2/5, under 2.5 in 3/5. Under 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.