At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Rodina Moskva
1W2D2L5 recent matches
Goals1.00per match
Conceded1.60per match
xG1.355 matches
xGA1.62per match
Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5
Lokomotiv
1W2D2L5 recent matches
Goals2.00per match
Conceded1.60per match
xG1.415 matches
xGA1.87per match
Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5
Match prediction and stats
Rodina Moskva over the last 5: 1W, 2D, 2L · 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded per match.
Lokomotiv over the last 5: 1W, 2D, 2L · 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded per match.
The xG balance is close: Rodina Moskva -0.27, Lokomotiv -0.46. No clear edge in the current sample.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Rodina Moskva: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5; Lokomotiv: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5. Over 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.