At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Baltika
1W3D1L5 recent matches
Goals1.00per match
Conceded1.00per match
xG1.075 matches
xGA0.98per match
Over 2.52/5Under 2.53/5
Akhmat
0W1D4L5 recent matches
Goals0.40per match
Conceded1.60per match
xG0.795 matches
xGA0.81per match
Over 2.51/5Under 2.54/5
Match prediction and stats
Baltika over the last 5: 1W, 3D, 1L · 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded per match.
Akhmat over the last 5: 0W, 1D, 4L · 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded per match.
The xG balance is close: Baltika 0.09, Akhmat -0.02. No clear edge in the current sample.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Baltika: over 2.5 in 2/5, under 2.5 in 3/5; Akhmat: over 2.5 in 1/5, under 2.5 in 4/5. Under 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.