Derby — Stoke City

Championship · England

Derby

0:1

Stoke City

Derby

Match events

Legend

Stoke City

0′

45′

90′

No events yet

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Prediction review

Derby vs Stoke City: prediction and match stats

Statistical prediction based on recent results, goals, xG and xGA.

Saved before kickoff · 17 Oct 2026, 10:54 UTC

Form-based expectation2 · Stoke City✓ Matched

Goals-total expectationNo shared trendNo pick

90-minute result: 0:1 · Total: 1

Head-to-head trends

Latest available head-to-head meetings: 10 · 31 Jan 2020 — 06 Apr 2026

6/10

In 6 of the 10 available recent head-to-head matches, at least 3 goals were scored.

Over 2.5Odds unavailable✕ Did not match

6/10

In 6 of the 10 available recent head-to-head matches, at least one team did not score.

Both teams to score — noOdds unavailable✓ Matched

Included meetings

At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.

Pre-match data and calculation

Derby

0W2D3L5 recent matches

Goals0.80per match

Conceded1.80per match

Over 2.52/5Under 2.53/5

Stoke City

3W1D1L5 recent matches

Goals1.80per match

Conceded1.40per match

Over 2.54/5Under 2.51/5

Match prediction and stats

Derby over the last 5: 0W, 2D, 3L · 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded per match.
Stoke City over the last 5: 3W, 1D, 1L · 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded per match.
Stoke City has more points per match over the recent sample. This is a statistical form indicator, not a guaranteed outcome.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Derby: over 2.5 in 2/5, under 2.5 in 3/5; Stoke City: over 2.5 in 4/5, under 2.5 in 1/5. The sample does not show a common totals trend.